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Writer's pictureKelly Smith

Pasco County Market Update: A Year in Review & A Look Ahead

As we wrap up the first three quarters of 2024, the Pasco County real estate market has experienced a noticeable shift compared to the high-paced market of the past few years. Closed sales, median sale prices, and the speed of transactions have all shown signs of cooling. Inventory levels have risen significantly, providing buyers with more choices while creating a more balanced market. Although demand remains steady, higher interest rates have kept some buyers on the sidelines, leading to longer times on market for many homes.



Looking ahead to 2025, industry experts expect some key changes that could impact both buyers and sellers:


  1. Gradual Decline in Rates: Mortgage rates may dip to around 5.9% to 6.2% by late 2025, offering slightly better financing options for buyers, though still higher than recent historic lows.

  2. Stabilization of Home Prices: Home prices are expected to rise more slowly, around 1% to 3%, bringing greater stability and predictability for both buyers and sellers.

  3. Improved Housing Affordability: As rates ease, financing a home could become a bit more manageable, giving buyers more purchasing power compared to 2024.

  4. Affordability Challenges Remain: Despite rate drops, high prices and elevated interest rates will keep affordability a challenge for many buyers in 2025.


As the market evolves, having a trusted real estate advisor (like me!) by your side is more important than ever. If you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2025—or simply want to explore your options for the future—I’d love to be your go-to resource. Let’s discuss your real estate goals and make a plan that works for you, no matter where the market takes us.

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